Saturday, November 21, 2015

Assessing the Twins' Risks in the 2015 Rule 5 Draft: Analyzing Each of their 40 Eligible Unprotected Players

The Twins announced that they have added LHP Taylor Rogers, RHP JT Chargois, OF Adam Brett Walker, LHP Randy Rosario, RHP Yorman Landa, LHP Pat Dean, and LHP Mason Melotakis to their 40-man roster.   This leaves 41 players unprotected. 

Here is a list of each of the unprotected players along with an risk analysis with the possibility that each player will get selected by another team:

RHP Jose Abreu
Age: 23
Height: 5' 11"
Weight: 170 lb
Highest Level: Rookie/Elizabethton 
Acquired:  Dominican Free Agent
2015 Prospect Rank: NR; 23th in 2014
Last season: 17 G, 26.2 IP, 6.8 K/9, 4.4 BB/9, 3.71 ERA, 4.68 FIP, 1.39 WHIP, .272 BABIP
Summary: Very raw player with control and command issues, but extremely tantalizing fastball with a lot of movement.  Secondary pitches are work in progress and has declined last season after missing 2014 with Tommy John surgery.  Interesting to see how he will bounce back.  Highly Unlikely to be taken in the draft
Risk %: 5%


RHP Jason Adam
Age: 24
Height:  6' 4"
Weight: 225 lb
Highest Level: AAA 
Acquired: Traded from the Kansas for Josh Willingham in 2014
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season: Did not play/recovering from surgery 2014 AAA/AA:  29 G, 19 GS, 120.1 IP, 7.7 K/9, 2.7 BB/9, 4.71 ERA, 3.68 FIP, 1.41 WHIP, .345 BABIP
Summary: Was the Royals' 9th prospect according to Baseball America when traded.  Mid 90s plus fastball complemented with an above average curve and works in progress slider and changeup. Starter potential.  Unlikely to be taken in the draft because of the risk of the postsurgery unknown, but definitely has upside
Risk %: 30%

RHP Nick Anderson
Age: 25
Height:  6' 5"
Weight: 195 lb
Highest Level: A 
Acquired: Signed as a Free Agent from Independent Leagues in 2015
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season (A): 9 G, 0 GS, 12 IP, 9 K/9, 0 BB/9, 0.75 ERA, 2.73 FIP, 0.83 WHIP, .1945 BABIP
Summary: Minnesotan. Recent Independent League signing.  97 mph Fastball, but 2 years too old for the league and not too great secondary stuff.  Definitely a project.  Was there for the taking by any team and was not.  Unlikely that he would be taken in the draft, unless someone sees him as a MLB-level project
Risk %: 15%

RHP Luke Bard
Age: 25
Height:  6' 3"
Weight: 195 lb
Highest Level: A+ 
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 1st round (42 overall) in 2012
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season (A): 28 G, 0 GS, 52.1  IP, 8.1 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 2.41 ERA, 2.99 FIP, 1.15 WHIP, .303 BABIP
Summary: Once (2012) the Twins' 10th best prospect according to Baseball America.  One of the many relievers the Twins drafted in high rounds with the hope to turn into starters and ended up having Tommy John surgery.  Bard was out all 2014 recoving. But has regressed in every level previously.  Last season he was adequate at A ball, but 2 years older than the average player there.  So far a dissapointment, and not sure that there will be any takers.
Risk %: 10%


RHP DJ Baxendale
Age: 24
Height:  6' 2"
Weight: 190 lb
Highest Level: AA 
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 10th round in 2012
2015 Prospect Rank: NR; highest: 15th in 2014 offseason.
Last season (AA) : 23 G, 21 GS, 118.1  IP, 7 K/9, 3 BB/9, 3.80 ERA, 3.69 FIP, 1.40 WHIP, .317 BABIP
Summary: Baxendale is all about Command and Control.  If that works, he is great, if it does not, he is not.  Repeated AA this season at an age a bit younger than average. His fastball has been hittable by more advanced hitters, and this has been his main problem. Cannot make it as a junk ball righty.  Lots of potential there, and has some history as a reliever, but I don't think that it is enough for anyone to spend a 25 man roster spot on him.
Risk %: 30%


RHP Omar Bencomo
Age: 26
Height:  6' 1"
Weight: 170 lb
Highest Level: A+ 
Acquired: Signed as a Free Agent from Independent Leagues in 2015
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season (A+) : 3 G, 3 GS, 18  IP, 2.5 K/9, 2.5 BB/9, 1.50 ERA, 3.61 FIP, 0.90 WHIP, .196 BABIP
Summary: Another one of the Twins' Independent League signings.  Started 3 games at a 26 year old at Fort Myers.  Organizational depth and more of a candidate for release than a risk to be drafted
Risk %: 5%

OF Edgar Corcino
Age: 23
Height:  6' 1"
Weight: 210 lb
Highest Level: A 
Acquired: Signed as a Free Agent from Independent Leagues in 2014
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season (A) :  .273/.340/.376; 373 PA, 4 HR, 9 SB, 34 BB, 91 K.
Summary: Yet another one of the Twins' Independent League signings.  Started 63 games as a RF and 17 as a CF for Cedar Rapids. Not a prospect and not MLB-ready
Risk %: 15%


RHP Sam Gibbons
Age: 21
Height:  6' 4"
Weight: 190 lb
Highest Level: A 
Acquired: Signed as an International Free Agent from Australia in 2011
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season (A) : 15 G, 15 GS, 90.1 IP, 6.8 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 2.89 ERA, 3.14 FIP, 1.185 WHIP, .196 BABIP
Summary: Gibbons has been improving each season and jumping a level a season. High A ready, but not MLB-ready.  Little risk of being taken in the MLB portion of the draft, might want to protect him in the minor league portion of the draft.
Risk %: 25%

RHP Miguel Gonzalez
Age: 21
Height:  6' 1"
Weight: 180 lb
Highest Level: Rookie (GCL)
Acquired: Signed as an International Free Agent from Dominican Republic in 2011
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season (Rookie/GCL) : 15 G, 3 GS, 39.2 IP, 9.1 K/9, 1.6 BB/9, 1.59 ERA, 2.12 FIP, 0.981 WHIP, .271 BABIP
Summary: Third time is the charm, since threepeating the GCL, Gonzalez have found himself, by improving his mechanics and control.   Still very young.  Little risk of being taken in the MLB portion of the draft, might want to protect him in the minor league portion of the draft.
Risk %: 15%


IF Niko Goodrum
Age: 23
Height:  6' 3"
Weight: 167 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 2nd round of 2010
2015 Prospect Rank: NR; 27th in 2014
Last season (AA) : .244/.332/.392; 238 PA, 5 HR, 18 SB, 28 BB, 51 K.
Summary: Goodrum is still young, but the expectations for the former second round draft pick have been higher than his performance so far. Declining performance at 3B, where he switch from SS, but adding CF to his repertoir and seeing more (and better defensively) games at SS in 2015.  Someone might pick him up as a utility player/PR, but he is not ready to perform with his bat.
Risk %: 35%

1B Bryan Haar
Age: 25
Height:  6' 3"
Weight: 215 lb
Highest Level: A+
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 34th round of 2012
2015 Prospect Rank: NR.
Last season (A+) : .249/.317/.323; 284 PA, 1 HR, 1 SB, 21 BB, 61 K.
Summary: Organizational depth at this point, and as a 25 year old in high A ball, he is more of a candidate to be cut than drafted.
Risk %: 5%

OF Travis Harrison
Age: 23
Height:  6' 1"
Weight: 215 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 1st round (50th overall) of 2011
2015 Prospect Rank: 14th
Last season (AA) : .240/.363/.356; 479 PA, 5 HR, 3 SB, 65 BB, 102 K.
Summary: Harrison has been taken a step up in level every year in his professional career, but also has been taking a step back in performance.  Last season was his worst so far as a pro. Still more than 2 years young in AA, he is in the top prospect conversation and he might be a season or two away from a breakthrough; however, he is not major league ready at this point and I cannot see someone drafting him, but the potential is there.
Risk %: 40%


1B DJ Hicks
Age: 25
Height:  6' 5"
Weight: 245 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 17th round  of 2012
2015 Prospect Rank:NR, 2014: 24th
Last season (AA) : .227/.320/.351; 259 PA, 6 HR, 1 SB, 32 BB, 66 K.
Summary: Hicks' strongest tool is his power, and he has seen a drastic decline as he has been climbing minor league levels, something that he did with regularity.  Bothered with injuries this season.  It is unlikely that he will be drafted, he needs another good year to be MLB-ready.
Risk %: 25%

LHP David Hurlbut
Age: 25
Height:  6' 3"
Weight: 221 lb
Highest Level: AAA (one game)
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 28th round  of 2011
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season (A+/AA/AAA) : 20 G, 19 GS, 119 IP, 5.3 K/9, 2.9 BB/9, 3.78 ERA, 3.67 FIP, 1.333 WHIP, .311 BABIP
Summary: Hurlbut had a decent AA season, he is left-handed and a pitch to contact guy.  Someone might think that converting him to a reliever might improve his numbers. As with any lefty, there are always some possibilities that someone will pull the trigger, but there are better options out there.
Risk %: 45%

RHP Cole Johnson
Age: 27
Height:  6' 3"
Weight: 200 lb
Highest Level: AAA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 44th round  of 2011
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season (A+/AA/AAA) : 35 G, 0 GS, 52 IP, 8.3 K/9, 3.5 BB/9, 3.18 ERA, 3.66 FIP, 1.404 WHIP, .331 BABIP
Summary: Cole Johnson is MLB-ready.  Heavy singer sitting at 89-92, good slider.  Command of his fastball is crucial.  Tale of 2 places season, better at AA than AAA.  Might be due to the fact of game calling by catchers at AAA as well.  Can be in a major league pen right now.
Risk %: 70%

RHP Zack Jones
Age: 24
Height:  6' 1"
Weight: 185 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 4th round  of 2012
2015 Prospect Rank: NR; 2014: 19th
Last season (A+/AA) :45 G, 0 GS, 51.2 IP, 11.8 K/9, 4.9 BB/9, 4.53 ERA, 3.32 FIP, 1.277 WHIP, .288 BABIP
Summary: Zach Jones is a fireballer with a major league 99 mph fastball, but with iffy control due to his mechanics (which have been the source of nagging injuries,) and an average slider that sometimes is much better than average, but it is an inconsistent pitch.  Much better performance at Fort Myers than at Chatanooga.  Still can strike people out and non contenders with pitching coaches who would love a challenge might wink at that heater. 
Risk %: 75%

RHP Felix Jorge
Age: 21
Height:  6' 2"
Weight: 170 lb
Highest Level: A
Acquired: Signed as an International Free Agent from Dominican Republic
2015 Prospect Rank: 29th
Last season (A) :23 G, 22 GS, 142 IP, 7.2 K/9, 2 BB/9, 2.79 ERA, 3.54 FIP, 1.056 WHIP, .267 BABIP
Summary: Jorge has 4 pitches that can be plus at different times.  He just has not put it all together.  Second time at Cedar Rapids (still at an age younger than league average) was better.  Fastball used to live around 95 earlier in his career, but endurance had been an issue.  This kid has a lot of potential.  He is not major league ready by any means, but the Twins are betting nobody pulls a Santana on them.  However someone might.
Risk %: 50%

OF Marcus Knecht
Age: 25
Height:  6' 1"
Weight: 200 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Signed as a Minor League free agent in 2015
2015 Prospect Rank:NR
Last season (A+/AA) : .221/.320/.310; 465 PA, 2 HR, 15 SB, 51 BB, 103 K.
Summary: The definition of organization depth.  Not sure why the Twins re-signed him.  Cannot see a team taking a chance for any reason
Risk %: 2%

LHP Brett Lee
Age: 25
Height:  6' 4"
Weight: 206 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 10th round of 2011
2015 Prospect Rank: N/A
Last season (A+/A) :22 G, 22 GS, 134 IP, 4.4 K/9, 2.8 BB/9, 3.16 ERA, 3.62 FIP, 1.239 WHIP, .277 BABIP
Summary: Even though Lee posted before average numbers, his stuff is pretty average, other than pitching to contact, which is his bread and butter.  Very low strikeout and walk numbers, so his success (or lack of) would have to depend on his ability to induce ground balls.  And he is not ready for the majors at this point.  But he is a living and breathing lefty.  On the other hand, there are better option for those as well...
Risk %: 30%

RHP Kuo-Hua Lo
Age: 22
Height:  5'10"
Weight: 195lb
Highest Level: Rookie (Elizabethton)
Acquired: Signed as an International Free Agent from Taiwan
2015 Prospect Rank: N/A
Last season (Rookie) :19 G, 0 GS, 31.1 IP, 12.4 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 1.44 ERA, 2.75 FIP, 0.734 WHIP, .213 BABIP
Summary: Lo repeated the Appalachian League in his fourth season with the Twins and had remarkable success closing games.  However he is 2 years older than the league average player and has faced players who grabbed a wooden bad for the first time in their lives.  Might get himself into prospect conversations, but he is not close to being Major League ready
Risk %: 10%

C Joe Maloney
Age: 25
Height:  6' 2"
Weight: 190 lb
Highest Level: A+ (in 2013)
Acquired: Signed as an Independent League free agent this off-season
2015 Prospect Rank:NR
Last season (IL) : .337/.432/.559; 433 PA, 14 HR, 18 SB, 57 BB, 106 K.
Summary: Intriguing IL numbers last season, so the Twins took a chance on him.  More about him here.  Not the kind of player you draft on Rule 5 draft.
Risk %: 5%

IF Aderlin Mejia
Age: 23
Height:  5'11"
Weight: 170lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Signed as an International Free Agent for the Dominican Republic
2015 Prospect Rank:NR
Last season (A+/AA) : .231/.313/.285; 305 PA, 1 HR, 7 SB, 34 BB, 37 K.
Summary: Had some flashes in the past, but last season was his fourth season that he spent at least some part at Fort Myers.  He is a fan favorite there, but a utility player.  More of a release than a draft candidate.
Risk %: 5%

SS Heiker Meneses
Age: 24
Height:  5'9"
Weight: 200lb
Highest Level: AAA (2014)
Acquired: Signed as a Minor League Free Agent in 2015
2015 Prospect Rank:NR
Last season (AA) : .259/.317/.300; 386 PA, 0 HR, 15 SB, 24 BB, 72 K.
Summary: Re-signed by the Twins as a minor league free agent again this off-season.  More about him here.  Definitely there is some intrigue and potential, but not enough to get drafted
Risk %: 25%

2B Levi Michael
Age: 24
Height:  5'10"
Weight: 180lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 1st round (30th overall) of 2011
2015 Prospect Rank: 22nd
Last season (AA) : .267/.369/.434; 264 PA, 5 HR, 18 SB, 31 BB, 53 K.
Summary: Never played below high A, was over-slotted and over-assigned when drafted.  But he got better each and every season.  Better than average defender after his move to second base, his challenge has been staying healthy.  However second basement with .804 OPS in AA and excellent judgement of the strike zone do not grow on trees.  The exact kind of player a team (especially in the National League) would not mind spending its last roster spot over.
Risk %: 75%

RHP Alex Muren
Age: 24
Height:  6'3"
Weight: 200 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired:  Drafted by the Twins in the 12th round  of 2012
2015 Prospect Rank: N/A
Last season (A+/AA) :44 G, 0 GS, 71.1 IP, 6.8 K/9, 3.0 BB/9, 3.53 ERA, 3.23 FIP, 1.206 WHIP, .273 BABIP
Summary: Muren is organizational depth at this point.  He does have his moments but are not enough for someone to draft him.
Risk %: 10%

C Carlos Paulino
Age: 26
Height:  6'0"
Weight: 175lb
Highest Level: AAA
Acquired: Singed as a Minor League Free Agent in 2015
2015 Prospect Rank:NR
Last season (AA/AAA) : .262/.328/.337; 193 PA, 0 HR, 0 SB, 17 BB, 15 K.
Summary: Re-signed by the Twins as a minor league free agent again this off-season.  Despite being the Twins' de facto number 3 in depth catcher as of today, he does not fit the profile of someone who will be taken in the Rule 5 draft.
Risk %: 25%

RHP Greg Peavey
Age: 27
Height:  6'2"
Weight: 185lb
Highest Level: AAA
Acquired: Selected from the Mets in the Minor League portion of the Rule 5 draft in 2014
2015 Prospect Rank: N/A
Last season (AAA/AA) :27 G, 27 GS, 147 IP, 5.3 K/9, 2.4 BB/9, 5.02 ERA, 4.48 FIP, 1.354 WHIP, .287 BABIP
Summary: Peavey is a pitch to contact control artist who can be really good on a good day and really bad on a bad day.  And he had more bad days than good last season.  Hard to see him drafted, but it is not impossible.  Not unlike the starters that the Twins have drafted in the rule 5 draft this decade
Risk %: 40%

C Michael Quesada
Age: 25
Height:  6'1"
Weight: 205lb
Highest Level: A+
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 24th Round of 2010
2015 Prospect Rank:NR
Last season (A+) : .151/.239/.198; 240 PA, 0 HR, 0 SB, 21 BB, 73 K.
Summary: Quesada had an abysmal season at Fort Myers at an age 2.5 years older than League average.  Has been digressing every season; add a suspension because of drug use and it is a wonder he still is in the Twins' organization.  Will not get drafted, unless something freezes over.
Risk %: 1%

RHP Dereck Rodriguez
Age: 24
Height:  6'1"
Weight: 180lb
Highest Level: A+
Acquired: Drafted in the 6th round of 2011
2015 Prospect Rank: N/A
Last season (Rk/A/A+) :15 G, 14 GS, 75.1 IP, 7.9 K/9, 2.3 BB/9, 3.35 ERA, 3.49 FIP, 1.235 WHIP, .306 BABIP
Summary: The son of Pudge was drafted as an outfielder and now is being converted into a pitcher.  Played mostly Rookie ball at Elizabethton with 2 games with the Miracle and 1 with the Lookouts.  He is a project; a project that looks good, but not MLB-ready by any means.
Risk %: 20%

C Jairo Rodriguez
Age: 27
Height:  5'11"
Weight: 180 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Signed by the Twins as an International Amateur Free Agent from Venezuela
2015 Prospect Rank:NR
Last season (AA) : .221/.284/.244; 96 PA, 0 HR, 0 SB, 8 BB, 15 K.
Summary: Has been in the Twins' organization for 9 season and was re-signed again this off-season, for his 10th, after a pretty bad performance at Chattanooga.  They like him for some reason, but his is a performance that only a parent team would like...
Risk %: 2%

1B Reynaldo Rodriguez



Age: 29
Height:  6'0"
Weight: 200 lb
Highest Level: AAA
Acquired: Signed by the Twins as a minor league Free Agent in 2013
2015 Prospect Rank:NR
Last season (AAA) : .255/.307/.446; 551 PA, 16 HR, 13 SB, 39 BB, 82 K.
Summary: Re-signed by the Twins as a minor league free agent again this off-season.  A little older than the traditional rule 5 picks, his skills translate well in the majors and could be picked by a team in need of RH bats at the 1B/OF/PH/DH positions.
Risk %: 55%

LHP Dan Runzler
 Age: 30
Height:  6'4"
Weight: 210lb
Highest Level: MLB (2012)
Acquired: Signed this off-season as a minor league free agent
2015 Prospect Rank: N/A
Last season (AAA) :39 G, 0 GS, 37.2 IP, 9.6 K/9, 6.7 BB/9, 5.26 ERA, 4.56 FIP, 2.018 WHIP, .285 BABIP
Summary: You can read a lot about Runzler here.  A very intriguing situation and the only thing that makes me think that he might not get selected is that if a team wanted to give him a 40-man position, they could have done it.  However, things change in a month.
Risk %: 45%


RHP Tim Shibuya
Age: 26
Height:  6'1"
Weight: 190lb
Highest Level: AAA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 23rd round of the 2011 draft
2015 Prospect Rank: N/A
Last season (A+/AA/AAA) :33 G, 4 GS, 63 IP, 5.3 K/9, 1.6 BB/9, 3.57 ERA, 3.98 FIP, 1.222 WHIP, .295 BABIP
Summary: Shibuya, despite his impeccable control is organizational depth at this point. Hard to see any takers
Risk %: 25%

RHP Matt Summers
Age: 26
Height:  6'1"
Weight: 205lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 4th round of the 2011 draft
2015 Prospect Rank: N/A
Last season (A+/AA) :26 G, 1 GS, 44.2 IP, 6.0 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 3.63 ERA, 3.45 FIP, 1.187 WHIP, .266 BABIP
Summary: Pretty much the same that was said about Shibuya.  However, Summers was a higher round pick in the same draft and did not go that far.
Risk %: 25%


RHP Todd Van Steensel
Age: 24
Height:  6'1"
Weight: 190 lb
Highest Level: A+
Acquired: Signed by the Twins as a minor league free agent in 2014 (previously pitching for them for 2011)
2015 Prospect Rank: 34
Last season (A+/AA) :46 G, 0 GS, 66 IP, 11 K/9, 4.4 BB/9, 2.32 ERA, 3.33 FIP, 1.288 WHIP, .310 BABIP
Summary:  In his first full season as one of the Miracle closers, Van Steensel put good enough numbers to move up to the Chattanooga pen next season, but not good enough to be drafted.  He in an interesting prospect who might be a couple seasons away if his fastball plays against better competition, but he is not there yet.
Risk %: 25%

UT  Logan Wade
Age: 24
Height:  6'1"
Weight: 190 lb
Highest Level: A+
Acquired: Signed by the Twins as an International Free agent from Australia
2015 Prospect Rank:NR; 2014: 37
Last season (A+) : .258/.296/.374; 366 PA, 3 HR, 3 SB, 20 BB, 63 K.
Summary: Wade is an average utility player at Fort Myers who can play all over the field.  Not sure that he is ready for AA, much yet for the majors.  
Risk %: 5%


LHP Jason Wheeler
Age: 25
Height:  6'6"
Weight: 255 lb
Highest Level: AAA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 8th round of 2011
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season (AA/AAA) :25 G, 25 GS, 137.2 IP, 5.9 K/9, 2.6 BB/9, 5.43 ERA, 4.68 FIP, 1.467 WHIP, .323 BABIP
Summary:  Typical Twins' minor league middle of the rotation starter.  Pitch to contact pitcher with above average control, hoping to induce ground balls that the defense behind him will turn to outs. Much better success at AA than at AAA last season. He is a lefty.  Maybe someone things that with a couple few pitches and a few ticks higher in his FB might turn into an acceptable reliever in the majors.  Maybe.
Risk %: 55%

UT Stephen Wickens
Age: 26
Height:  5'10"
Weight: 170 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 33rd round of 2011
2015 Prospect Rank:NR
Last season (A+) : .254/.352/.333; 310 PA, 1 HR, 16 SB, 36 BB, 45 K.
Summary: Steady utility player who has played every position except CF and C.  Has value on resting starters for a good minor league team and not hurt the team with the bat or the glove, but that's about it.  I do not see him getting selected.
Risk %: 15%

LHP Corey Williams
Age: 25
Height:  6'2"
Weight: 205 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 3th round of 2011
2015 Prospect Rank: NR
Last season (A+/AA) :29 G, 0 GS, 33.12 IP, 7 K/9, 4 BB/9, 2.43 ERA, 2.99 FIP, 1.110 WHIP, .247 BABIP
Summary:  Williams is a lefty in the Twins' system with closer staff, but command issues.  He was on a quick trajectory to the majors that got derailed with a Tommy John surgery and the loss of all 2014.  He returned in 2015 and put good but not great numbers.  The Twins know his medicals better than any team, but Williams is the type of guy you add to a 40-man roster because if healthy he can help a team down the stretch better than the likes of Aaron Thompson and Ryan O'Rourke.  Also this is exactly the kind of guy who might get drafted for the same reason.
Risk %: 75%

RHP Alex Wimmers.
Age: 27
Height:  6'2"
Weight: 212 lb
Highest Level: AA
Acquired: Drafted by the Twins in the 1st round of 2010 (21st overall)
2015 Prospect Rank: NR; 2014: 40
Last season (AA) :30 G, 18 GS, 115.1 IP, 7.8 K/9, 3.4 BB/9, 4.53 ERA, 3.50 FIP, 1.387 WHIP, .325 BABIP
Summary: Wimmers is the poster boy of the players who get drafted in the Rule 5 draft.  Another season removed by Tommy John surgery he put respectable raw numbers in AA and pitched the most innings in his career.  A control artist with ground ball tendencies and a strikeout breaking ball, might need a change of scenery.  The potential is there and now that he has proven that he can handle the work load, he will find a taker.  Surprised if the former 1st Round selection is with the Twins at the conclusion of the Winter Meetings.
Risk %: 85%

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